Dry and Hot Climate for Mid-summer across Europe!

Review of PDSI and EDDI as U.S. is Drying Out!
06/28/2022, 8:11 am EDT
Taking A Look at the Europe/North America Ridge Pattern Forecast for Mid-Summer 2022
07/06/2022, 4:54 am EDT
Show all

Highlight: Drought ahead!

Charts of the day: Soil moisture anomalies and 7-day rainfall forecast.

Discussion: Daily soil moisture anomalies reveal widespread dryness across Europe with drought established in Italy. The 7-day outlook indicates last week’s wet weather across interior Western Europe is gone as a much drier regime returns. The Black Sea region is also mostly dry.

Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid July 11-17, 2022: Warm to hot and dry in Europe.   

Discussion: A very dry regime emerges across much of Central and Southern Europe with attendant anomalous heat. A cool and wet trough resides in Western Russia.

Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid July 18-24, 2022: Widening drought risk.

Discussion: Hot and dry weather promote widening drought risk in Europe.

Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid July 25-31, 2022: Hot/mostly dry climate intact.

Discussion: Continued mostly dry and hot across Europe and into the Black Sea region as high-pressure dominates.