Charts of the day: The 7-day forecast.
Discussion: A cool and raw pattern into the weekend followed by an amplifying upper trough into the Black Sea region by early next week. Rain changes to snow in the Black Sea region and Eastern Europe early next week. An amplifying ridge brings a drier/milder pattern to Western Europe.
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid February 6-13, 2023: Much colder across Southern Europe into the Black Sea region.
Discussion: A much colder forecast as a vigorous upper trough across and to the east of the Black Sea region generates a chill that propels night temperatures into the 10-15F range at night in Ukraine and into Eastern Europe. Most of Europe and Western Russia are dry during the cold snap.
Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid February 13-20, 2023: Mild pattern regenerates.
Discussion: The cold pattern erodes as the upper trough in the Black Sea region shifts eastward. A broad mild pattern follows with the Europe storm track stretched across northern sections.
Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid February 20-27, 2023: Mild regime.
Discussion: The mild pattern continues broaden and includes most of Europe and Western Russia. A mix of rain and snow is expansive from Northern Europe to Western Russia.