NOAA Fire Danger Forecast for Summer 2019

Labrador/Gulf Stream Clash Cause East Thermal Climate
06/02/2019, 11:26 am EDT
Global SSTA Forecast (JUL/AUG/SEP 2019) Check
06/09/2019, 2:32 pm EDT
Show all

The NOAA fire danger forecast for June through September certainly highlights the West Coast as a primary target. The Northwest is most reliably in a danger zone given evolving drought. California observed a wet spring therefore the fire danger may evolve more slowly there. The Southeast fire danger eases due to short-term rains.

U.S. Wildland Fire Potential Outlook by NOAA for June to September

Discussion: The NOAA Wildland Fire Potential Outlook for June through September is indicated in Fig. 1-4. A slow evolving fire risk is expected on the West Coast possibly a little more slowly than indicated by NOAA in California. Short-term heavy rains may ease the Southeast fire risk for June. Note the Southeast fire risk is eliminated in the Southeast by August due to tropical cyclone activity. The California risk is in full-flight by AUG/SEP. The Northwest risk may be stronger than indicated due to the one region in the U.S. reliably expected to gain drought conditions this summer season.

Fig. 1: NOAA wildland fire potential outlook for June 2019.

Fig. 2: NOAA wildland fire potential outlook for July 2019.

Fig. 3: NOAA wildland fire potential outlook for August 2019.

Fig. 4: NOAA wildland fire potential outlook for September 2019.