More East Australia Heavy Rains

Comparing NOAA and Climate Impact Company U.S. Winter 2023-24 Outlook
11/16/2023, 10:44 am EST
El Nino Should Peak Next Month; Mature Phase Q1/2024  
11/20/2023, 4:23 pm EST
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Highlight: Heavy rains forecast for Eastern Australia.

Fig. 1: Current weather satellite view across Australia highlighting an Eastern Australia rainstorm.

Discussion: Heavy rain along a low-pressure trough stretches through East Australia today (Fig. 1). The wet pattern has no end in sight as a supporting upper-level low-pressure area coupled with the surface trough persists the remainder of November. Forecast models are in good agreement on a widespread 2-6-inch rainfall for Eastern Australia through the next 15 days (Fig. 2). The wet weather across East Australia is not typical of an El Nino pattern.

Fig. 2: The rainfall anomaly forecast for the next 15 days across Australia.