Highlight: Heavy rains forecast for Eastern Australia.
Fig. 1: Current weather satellite view across Australia highlighting an Eastern Australia rainstorm.
Discussion: Heavy rain along a low-pressure trough stretches through East Australia today (Fig. 1). The wet pattern has no end in sight as a supporting upper-level low-pressure area coupled with the surface trough persists the remainder of November. Forecast models are in good agreement on a widespread 2-6-inch rainfall for Eastern Australia through the next 15 days (Fig. 2). The wet weather across East Australia is not typical of an El Nino pattern.
Fig. 2: The rainfall anomaly forecast for the next 15 days across Australia.