12/09/2020, 3:07 pm EST

Comments on the 2020 North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Season

Thirty tropical storms in 2020 across the North Atlantic basin breaks the record of 28 set in 2005. The number of hurricanes (13) and intense hurricanes (6) was slightly below the 2005 record (15 and 7 respectively). Surprisingly, despite the number of events in 2020, the accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index was 179.7 ranking 9th highest in the 1950-2020 climatology.
09/20/2020, 1:55 pm EDT

Northern Hemisphere Sea Ice Extent 2nd Lowest on Record

The northern hemisphere sea ice extent ranks 2nd lowest on record for the September 2020. The only year in which northern hemisphere sea ice was less abundant was 2012. The lack of sea ice does not mean that winter ahead will be warm.
08/31/2020, 4:53 pm EDT

Deep Layer Soil Moisture Deficits Increase Flash Drought Risk

Late season heat in Iowa last week coupled with deep layer soil moisture deficit over the northern state and widespread soil moisture deficts in the shallow soil moisture produced a borderline flash drought episode. Deep layer soil moisture deficits are spread across the North-central U.S., western Great Plains and Southeast U.S. Fortunately, early autumn cool weather and likely a wet regime in the Southeast eases additional flash drought risk.
08/17/2020, 10:07 am EDT

Only 2 Hurricanes So Far in North Atlantic. Can 10+ Still Occur As Seasonal Forecasts Indicate?

So far the 2020 North Atlantic tropical cyclone season has yielded 11 tropical storms which is certainly above normal for middle August. However, only 2 minimal hurricanes so far lags behind the normal amount. Seasonal forecasts by Climate Impact Company, Colorado State University, Tropical Storm Risk U.K. and NOAA indicate near if not more than 10 hurricanes of which 3-6 could become major hurricanes. Can that level of activity still happen?