03/18/2025, 2:55 pm EDT

Unusually Low Pressure Fueled the Weekend Severe Weather Outbreak

Unusually low pressure fueled a severe weather episode, beginning last Friday (Mar. 14) and continuing through the weekend (Mar. 15-16). On Friday, the storm center travelled northeastward from southwest Kansas to southern Minnesota with surface pressure between 976 and 979 MB. On Friday, streaks of hostile weather were observed from Kansas City to Chicago, St. Louis to Dayton, and near Little Rock to Cincinnati.
03/14/2025, 3:40 pm EDT

New Vs. Old Pacific Decadal Oscillation

The influence of the Pacific decadal oscillation on Southwest Canada/Northwest U.S. climate has changed due to the warming of the North Pacific Ocean. Cool phase PDO events are now much warmer and have eliminated the previous cool/wet bias to the Southwest Canada/Northwest U.S. climate in favor of warmer and drier regimes.
03/03/2025, 12:59 pm EST

La Nina Modoki Analogs

A rarely observed La Nina Modoki has developed in the central equatorial Pacific Ocean. Climate Impact Company identifies Modoki using the ENSO West-East Inex (WEI) which simply compares SSTA in the Nino4 region near the Dateline and the Nino3 region in the eastern equatorial Pacific away from the moderating effects on SSTA caused by proximity to land off the northwest coast of South America (where the Nino12 SSTA region is located). The La Nina Modoki index is -0.9C for the month of February and the daily index has jumped to -1.23C.