04/24/2026, 8:43 am EDT

Comparing (Climate Impact Co.) Constructed Analog and (ECMWF) Probabilistic Wind Climate Forecast for Australia

The Australia month 1-3 ahead wind speed forecast is presented using two methodologies: 1.) Climate Impact Company constructed analog for zonal and meridional wind directions and 2.) ECMWF probabilistic outlook. ECMWF is generally indicating lighter than normal wind speeds for the 3-month period except above normal wind speeds for the Southeast Coast during JUN/JUL (agreeable to the CIC-CA outlook).
04/22/2026, 7:02 am EDT

Wet +IOD Runs Some Interference on Dry El Nino Climate During India Monsoon Season

The Climate Impact Company constructed analog climate forecast for summer 2026 across India is issued. The forecast is confidently based on an emerging strong El Nino, which has a drying effect on India and a less confident evolution of positive phase Indian Ocean dipole, normally a wet influence on India climate. The JUN/JUL/AUG 2026 precipitation forecast across India is mostly dry according to CIC although with some locally patchy wet month-to-month areas.
04/20/2026, 8:42 am EDT

Do Wet Soil Regions Influence Following Summer Climate in the U.S.?

Is there a relationship between summer climate and large areas of wet soil regions during spring? Yes! And the relationship can be profound and demonstrates a residual effect on mid-level troposphere pressure systems elsewhere. Currently, the Great Lakes region is in a historically wet soil moisture regime which continues to intensify. This region will enter the 2026 summer season with soaking wet soil conditions.
04/17/2026, 1:45 pm EDT

PJM West Summertime Heat Risk is Suppressed

The warm season (MAY-SEP) 2026 cooling degree days outlook for selected cities across the PJM Service Area indicates a split (climate) pattern. PJM-West is susceptible to El Nino-fueled cloudiness and wet weather likely to suppress warm season cooling demand.