The next 2-3 days will feature an unusually windy, chilly, and rainy scenario across New England and particularly the coast fueled in part by the cold bias on the atmosphere by cooler than normal waters off the Northeast Coast provided by the Labrador Current extending southwestward from the North Atlantic Warm Hole (NAWH) south of Greenland.

Developing El Nino usually produces lack of trade winds or a reversal to westerly wind direction in the equatorial central/east Pacific Ocean. However, the expected trade wind regime is not present. In fact, in early June, GFS projects a swath of moderate trade winds in the Nino4/Nino34 regions.

The U.S. Drought Monitor reported a whopping 44.5% of the U.S. in D2-D4 (severe to exceptional) drought last Thursday. Hardest hit is the Southeast/Mid-Atlantic States, the Mid-south U.S., and parts of the central and southwest Great Plains plus Interior West. The aerial coverage of hostile drought conditions is attributed to building dryness of this decade propelled by a mostly La Nina-like climate pattern.

The NOAA/CPC Seasonal Drought Outlook indicates erosion of much of the Southern U.S. drought erodes while Northern drought expands. The pattern is developing in the week 2-4 outlook according to ECM "weeklies".