08/12/2021, 12:53 pm EDT

California’s Unique Climate Pattern

From a climate perspective, the accelerant of anomalous heat which is currently at record levels for California for summer 2021 so far is a semi-permanent upper-level high-pressure ridge present much of the time since 2013 and associated with reginal warming of the northeast Pacific Ocean.
07/26/2021, 8:19 am EDT

Low Mid-level Relative Humidity Limits Atlantic TC Activity

A stronger-than-normal Bermuda high-pressure system is contributing to the lack of relative humidity in the middle atmosphere across the tropical/subtropical North Atlantic basin. The lack of RH in the mid-level atmosphere is well-correlated to lack of tropical cyclone activity since Elsa earlier this month.
07/15/2021, 11:46 am EDT

Unusually Warm Tropical Atlantic SSTA To Fuel A Wet Brazil Climate

Currently, an unusually warm SSTA pattern persists across the central and east Atlantic tropics. The anomalous warm SSTA represents buoyant low-level atmosphere moisture. The IMME (model) forecasts the warm SSTA to surge westward into the northern coast of South America as a La Nina pattern (also) develops by October. The combination of the two SSTA regimes should yield a much-needed wet climate for Brazil.
06/22/2021, 8:03 am EDT

Oceanic Climate Signals Forecast Reference For Meteorologists/Traders/Analysts

El Nino southern oscillation (ENSO) is often the most relied upon climate signal to project seasonal climate patterns all around the globe. ENSO is certainly important especially when stronger El Nino or La Nina are present. However, regional sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) patterns such as the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation (AMO), Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), northeast Pacific “warm blob” and North Atlantic Warm Hole (NAWH) are increasingly relevant to generating climate forecasts.