News
02/27/2020, 4:50 am EST

The Most Reliable U.S. Spring 2020 Flood and Drought Outlook

Current soil moisture conditions across the Central and East U.S. are similar to last year at this time…wettest on record. Soil moisture is the result of the long-term climate therefore short-term climate predictions can use past precipitation patterns causing similarly wet soils to project the season ahead anomalous precipitation.
11/10/2019, 7:48 pm EST

Using Wet PDSI Analogs to Predict Winter Temperature and Following Spring Precipitation

The Great Plains soil moisture regime is historic wet right now caused by the wettest 12-month period on record for this region. A look back at the closest analog years reveals the most recent similarity is 2009 and most dramatic 1993. The consensus upper pattern for following winter certainly supports a prevailing cold U.S. pattern.