The Canadian Meteorological Center indicates an evolving fire risk across Western Canada during June with a well above normal fire risk for Southwest Canada by July reaching all Southwest and Central Canada (plus Northwest U.S.) during August.

ENSO is in neutral phase as mid-year approaches. The outlook for later this year is uncertain. In fact, the latest NCEP CFS V2 Nino34 SSTA forecast reveals a range of ENSO phase possibilities ranging from strong El Nino to strong La Nina or continuation of neutral phase for the last third of 2025.

A large increase in MHW’s during the past decade appears to be a leading contributor to global ocean temperature rise and Australia is a location directly affected by the attendant climate produced by MHW’s.

As a review, an exceptionally intense severe weather episode was observed late last week across the Upper Midwest, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic States. On May 15 (Thursday), NOAA/SPC’s final count of severe weather reports is 657 including an unusually high amount of hail (274) plus 32 tornado reports. On May 16 (Friday), NOAA/SPC counted 1, 216 damage reports including a whopping 371 hail damage events and 815 wind damage reports.