News
10/21/2024, 5:37 am EDT

Record Strength and Length of -PDO Regime Despite Warm Northeast Pacific!

Another hotter than normal summer and early autumn in California thanks in large part to the emergence of Marine Heat Wave NEP24A which started last April offshore and spread into the U.S. West Coast and intensified during the summer season. As usual, the presence of the MHW helped amplify an upper-level high-pressure ridge to cause the hot summer. One fascinating aspect of MHW24A is the persistent and strengthening cool phase of the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), normally present when the Northeast Pacific Ocean surface is cooler than normal.
10/16/2024, 8:52 am EDT

Explaining The Recent Spike in Negative Phase Indian Ocean Dipole

The recent reversal in the IOD pattern to negative phase is quick and sharp. Climate Impact Company explains this sudden change due to expansion of a marine heat wave off the northwest coast of Australia into the eastern Indian Ocean tropics. Some dynamic models maintain this trend, others prefer this sudden shift as temporary.
10/10/2024, 12:49 pm EDT

North Atlantic Tropical Season Gaining Storms Fast; Very Warm Oceans Helping

The 2024 tropical cyclone season has certainly seen a destructive uptick in recent weeks. Seasonal totals are now above normal, most notably with the number of hurricanes and the rapidly increasing accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index. The North Atlantic basin including the Gulf of Mexico remains considerably warmer than normal supporting an active season as predicted by most forecasters earlier this summer.