At issue is the Great Plains/Texas drought as mid-meteorological spring approaches. All western and southern Kansas plus the Oklahoma Panhandle are in D4 (“exceptional drought”) classification. To best understand the 15-day outlook, the mega-cluster ensemble is considered to determine rainfall risk in the drought areas.

Marine heat wave NEP22A located north-northeast of Hawaii is budging eastward again. NEP22A is the 2nd longest duration and 4th largest in aerial coverage MHW since satellite monitoring began in 1982. Dynamic models maintain the eastward shift toward the west coast of North America heading into summertime.