07/06/2023, 9:05 pm EDT

Unexpectedly Wet During June Northwest to Southeast Australia

Although an expected +IOD and El Nino climate pattern are expected and each should produce a dry climate for Australia, the month of June 2023 was quite wet arcing from northwest to southeast continent. The +IOD and El Nino climate patterns remain 1-3 months away!
07/06/2023, 8:21 am EDT

Atmospheric El Nino Lagging Oceanic El Nino

The multivariate ENSO index (MEI) for MAY/JUN was +0.2 which indicates the global climate as related to ENSO phase is neutral. However, the conventional measure of ENSO phase, the Nino34 SSTA region, reached the El Nino threshold (+0.5C) in May and strengthened (+0.9C) in June.
07/05/2023, 8:24 am EDT

U.S. June 2023 Wind Speeds Lighter Than Normal Especially Wind Power Generating Areas

Zonal wind speed anomalies were below normal across most of the Northern U.S. especially the Upper Midwest to Northeast U.S. sector due to anomalous high pressure centered in Canada and extending the northern states. Above normal zonal wind speeds were observed across Western Texas and Florida. Meridional wind speed anomalies were below normal from Western Texas to the Northeast U.S.
07/05/2023, 5:41 am EDT

Wet Midwest Pattern Shifts Southward Into Mid-July

The latest 15-day outlook trends much wetter for the central Great Plains, Missouri and Tennessee Valley(s) and vicinity. NOAA recently issued a 30-day drought outlook revised to substantially weaken the Midwest U.S. drought.