News
07/25/2023, 5:32 am EDT
07/25/2023, 5:32 am EDT

Heavy Rains Heading for Europe

Pattern change brings copious rainfall to Europe over the next 15 days with 3-5 in. indicated by ECM ENS across the South-central Mountains and parts of Eastern Europe. Of course, the wet weather is accompanied by cooler than normal temperatures. Southeast Europe misses the rain and cooler regime.
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07/25/2023, 5:30 am EDT
07/25/2023, 5:30 am EDT

Midwest U.S. Drought Worsening Again

Yesterday’s rainfall needed to neutralize dry Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) analysis from NOAA/CPC revealed the Midwest U.S. Drought worsened last week. Short-term forecasts indicate searing heat risk increase and limited rainfall ahead into next week as the drought will continue to worsen.
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07/24/2023, 11:50 am EDT
07/24/2023, 11:50 am EDT

Atmospheric El Nino Climate Continues to Lag Oceanic El Nino

Oceanic El Nino continues to slowly strengthen and is now at moderate intensity. Subsurface warming is convening in the eastern equatorial Pacific to provide more ammunition to strengthen El Nino. However, the sustained 1-2-month-long negative southern oscillation index required to generate an El Nino climate has not yet materialized.
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07/24/2023, 9:44 am EDT
07/24/2023, 9:44 am EDT

GFS Occasionally Indicating East Coast Hurricane In 11-15 Days

On occasion, the GFS and ECM develop a tropical wave within the outer North Atlantic active ITCZ and carry that event west-northwest with development possible by late this week. GFS has produced two model runs that develop this system into a hurricane reaching the Mid-Atlantic Coast in 13 days.
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