News
06/03/2026, 1:47 pm EDT

South America Cold Weather Threat Mid-June

The mega-cluster ensemble combining ECM, CFS, and CMC output indicates risk of significant cold not far from Brazil coffee-growing areas on June 15-16.
06/03/2026, 8:49 am EDT

Western North Atlantic SSTA Cool Off Sharply

The western portion of the North Atlantic basin except for the Gulf of Mexico is shifting dramatically cooler. SSTA are extremely cool off the Northeast. The 7-day change is sharply cooler. Usually, large areas of cool SSTA bias the local climate cool.
06/03/2026, 8:08 am EDT

Sharp Differences in Crop Conditions In U.S./Canada

Canadian spring wheat was sharply affected by drought in the southwest/south sector, but recent rains have been substantial increasing wet soil concerns, especially in the eastern half of the crop area. The U.S. spring wheat area is generally OK although weather/soil conditions is variable and require careful monitoring. U.S. Corn is ahead of schedule while winter wheat crop ratings are poor due to drought and late season freezes although recently gaining some rainfall.
06/02/2026, 7:45 am EDT

Mid-June U.S. Pattern Change

The Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) shifts across the warm eastern equatorial Pacific during the next 1-2 weeks. U.S. climatology during an MJO phase_7 to phase_8 transition favors a cooler East U.S. regime. Although not super confident, the most likely (ECM ENS mega-cluster ensemble) upper air pattern in 15 days is a new upper trough centered on Ontario to deliver cooler weather into the East U.S.