May 2026 - Page 6 of 8 - Climate Impact Company

News

05/08/2026, 1:45 pm EDT

U.S. April 2026 Climate Report

During April 2026, the Ohio and Tennessee Valley to Virginia observed record warmth. Most of the U.S. was MUCH WARMER than normal. The exception was slightly cooler than normal in North Dakota. The April 2026 precipitation pattern featured record amount in Wisconsin and Michigan and VERY WET conditions in Iowa and Missouri. Conversely, The Southeast and Mid-Atlantic States were very dry with several states in the to-5 all-time driest.

05/08/2026, 9:50 am EDT

Global Soil Moisture Anomalies Observations and Trend

Currently, NOAA/CPC identifies major drought areas across the southeast quadrant of the U.S., developing across the West U.S., and Baltic Region in Europe (Fig. 1). A major drought across Brazil is eroding to summertime rains. Southern Europe to the Iran Conflict region shifted wetter during the first third of 2026. Indonesia to Central Australia shifted wetter although “sneaky” drought developed in East Australia.

05/07/2026, 1:47 pm EDT

Active MJO and/or El Nino Onset to Ignite Wetter U.S. Pattern Not Indicated (Yet)

A U.S. pattern change featuring a wetter climate, mostly affecting the Southern States, is forecast by various probabilistic and dynamic models for later this month and early meteorological summer. Required to inspire a wetter pattern is persistent negative southern oscillation (SOI) or the onset and intensification of an El Nino climate.

05/07/2026, 4:33 am EDT

Comparing AI Vs. Dynamic Models 2-Meter Temperature Forecasts North America and Europe

AI models (7) outperform dynamic models (5) in both the 6-10-day and 11-15-day timescales for North America by small margins. In Europe, AI models edge-out dynamic models in both time periods. Climate Impact Company regards 0.75-0.80 as a good skill score for 6-10-day forecasts and 0.55-0.60 as desirable in the 11-15-day period.