Historic warmth of the Northeast Pacific along the U.S. West Coast to Baja California is attributed to two climate patterns affecting NW/West HYDRO: 1.) Long duration dry high-pressure ridge (as expected during the next 3 weeks); 2.) Over-achieving precipitation producers as seen with the recent atmospheric river, a pattern that may return in February. 70% of the U.S. is affected by dry-to-drought conditions caused in-part by an 18-month La Nina climate as identified by multi-variate ENSO index. The outlooks for spring indicate significant drought potential for the southeast quadrant of the U.S.

ECMWF and CIC-CA U.S. wind forecasts for JAN-26 to MAR-26 are compared to establish forecast confidence. Indicated are above average forecast confidence for greater than normal windspeeds Interior West for the current month with disagreement in the Southeast, especially Florida where ECMWF indicates lighter than normal windspeed and CIC-CA is above normal.