News
12/09/2025, 9:06 am EST
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Deepening Snow Cover Helps To Produce Extreme Northeast Cold Early Next Week

Snowfall forecasts by NBM indicate moderate to heavy snow across the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, and Interior Northeast States today through tomorrow. More snow although not as heavy extends across the North-central U.S. to the Interior Northeast States later this week. More snow is likely from the Ohio Valley across the Northeast States this weekend. The ongoing snowfall leaves deep snow cover for the Midwest to the Northeast by middle of next week (Fig. 6). The deepening snow enhances arctic air presence peaking in strength early next week across the PJM System.
12/09/2025, 4:55 am EST
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La Nina Shifts to Neutral Phase Early 2026; El Nino in 2026 is Likely

La Nina has recently weakened. Some regeneration is possible for later this month/early January. However, the push toward warming by a recent intense MJO event suggests the weak late 2026 La Nina has peaked, and neutral ENSO generates for Q1/2026. The warming Northeast Pacific generated in-part by the recent intense MJO event requires monitoring. Often, warming of the Northeast Pacific is a precursor to an ENSO phase change toward El Nino. ECMWF and NMME (models) forecast El Nino onset during Q2/2026.
12/08/2025, 2:59 pm EST
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NOV-25 Solar Cycle/Sunspot Number: Deceleration to Solar Minimum Underway

Solar cycle maxima 25 has passed and the NOV-25 sunspot number indicates deceleration toward solar minima likely by 2030-31 is underway. Common questions are influences on climate which is minimal due to CO2 emissions although slightly colder North America winters are favored. There are minimal effects on solar panels due to a weaker sun during solar minimum.
12/08/2025, 4:30 am EST
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Excessive Rainfall Forecast by ECM Central/East-central South America.

ECM indicates potential for flooding rainfall during the middle third of December across Eastern Bolivia, Paraguay, and Southwest/Southeast Brazil. The rain may abate in the 11-15-day period. The 24-hour change indicates a significant increase in rainfall for Paraguay and eastward. The culprit is an intensifying upper trough extending from east of Argentina northwestward into Brazil during much of the next 2 weeks.