The CFS V2 July 2025 climate forecast across Europe and Western Russia projects an upper-level high pressure system cresting over the Eastern Europe/Western Russia border. Previously issued ECM “weeklies” indicate the high pressure is slightly eastward. The sensible climate forecast projects widespread hot and dry weather across Central and East Europe, Ukraine, and Southwest Russia.

The 12Z GFS maintains an over-the-weekend cold risk into Southeast Brazil on TUE/WED morning. The cold risk reaches the southern Brazil coffee-growing areas each morning. Some damage is possible given the GFS outlook.