09/21/2025, 9:30 am EDT
Since mid-August, an upper trough settled over the East U.S. propelling upper-level westerly flow across the Gulf of Mexico extending to Cuba. The shearing westerly flow aloft has helped to keep this zone dry in the middle troposphere and produced an environment hostile to tropical development. The ECM ENS 500 MB anomaly forecast maintains the shearing westerlies across the Gulf of Mexico.




