Late season drought concerns regenerate in the Midwest U.S. as forecasts trend drier while a heatwave rambles on across Western Europe into next week before shifting eastward toward the Black Sea region. Southeast Brazil extreme rain and flooding shifts southward slightly and Australia has their first heatwave of the early warm season.

El Nino 2023-24 continues to develop and oceanic El Nino is now classified as moderate-to-strong in intensity. The Climate Impact Company constructed analog forecast projects additional strengthening with peak intensity in December followed by weakening early in 2024. El Nino 2023-24 ends by next May and is followed by the return of a weak La Nina later next year.