The North Atlantic basin is producing significant tropical cyclones, but they are well out-to-sea and more of a threat to Europe than North America. The western North Atlantic basin remains protected from tropical cyclone risk by the tropical upper tropospheric trough (TUTT) still located over Western Cuba.

Is this a climate change graphic? The 12Z GFS projects a tropical storm and two hurricanes between 40N and 45N latitude for Sep. 9th. The middle location storm is what GFS is forecasting for 91L. The farthest north system is “Danielle”. The 3rd system east of New England forms east of the Mid-Atlantic Coast. Note that the tropics are free and clear.