News
04/05/2024, 9:00 am EDT

Just-issued ECMWF Outlooks North Atlantic Tropics and U.S. Summer 2024

The European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has issued their once-per-month forecasts for the next 6 months. Glancing at the rainfall anomaly forecast in the North Atlantic tropics and subtropics for July through September helps to identify areas exposed to tropical cyclone risk.
04/04/2024, 2:06 pm EDT

Could Buoyant Hurricane Forecasts Be Revised Higher Later This Spring?

The Colorado State University North Atlantic basin tropical cyclone season activity forecast reveals a dangerous projection featuring an accumulated cyclone energy index (ACE) of 210, sixth highest since 1950. The outlook projects 23 tropical storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes. The outlook is slightly more active that last week’s Climate Impact Company forecast, and the initial forecast issued last December by Tropical Storm Risk/U.K. (their update is issued on April 8).
04/03/2024, 8:49 am EDT

RAPID Cooling of Nino12 SSTA Region

In the highlight section of today's U.S. medium range forecast, the cooling of the Nino12 SSTA region off the northwest coast of South America is identified. The 30-day SSTA change is a whopping -2.27C. El Nino's demise is ahead and La Nina for later this year is on the way.
04/03/2024, 5:33 am EDT

The Record Rains for Northern Australia in March

The Australia Bureau of Meteorology stated that record rainfall was observed across Northern Australia during March 2024. The extreme rainfall pattern extends into Western Australia. Q1/2024 reflects a similar anomaly particularly the wet extreme across northern areas.