02/02/2024, 8:24 am EST
A potential third stratospheric warming event forecast for the middle third of February over Siberia to northwestern North America could spawn another arctic air mass. If the attendant negative arctic oscillation (-AO) is accompanied by negative East Pacific oscillation (-EPO) a North America polar vortex pattern could emerge especially if AO and EPO are in the -1.5 range as indicated for mid-month.