News
02/02/2024, 8:24 am EST

Another Stratospheric Warning Event Generating Arctic Air Mid-February?

A potential third stratospheric warming event forecast for the middle third of February over Siberia to northwestern North America could spawn another arctic air mass. If the attendant negative arctic oscillation (-AO) is accompanied by negative East Pacific oscillation (-EPO) a North America polar vortex pattern could emerge especially if AO and EPO are in the -1.5 range as indicated for mid-month.
02/01/2024, 9:14 am EST

Equatorial Pacific Upper Ocean Heat Plummeting

During January 2024, upper ocean heat across the equatorial Pacific Ocean plummeted. The Pacific basin upper ocean heat anomaly has slipped below the El Nino threshold.
02/01/2024, 5:30 am EST

Consistent Forecast: Europe Turns Wintery Cold Again Mid-February

Persistent upper trough across Northwest Eurasia during winter 2023-24 shifts to Central Europe. Gradually, Northern Europe chill shifts farther south. The upper trough triggers a significant storm track across Southern Europe through the Black Sea region with increasing risk of snow.