News
01/07/2024, 9:43 am EST

Many U.S. Weather Hazards Ahead (Extreme Cold, Blizzards, and Flooding Rain)

Using Graph Cast AI for the U.S. 10-day forecast reveals a colder look for the Great Plains to Texas while the East avoids the cold but has potent storms. The bitter cold strikes the Great Plains enhanced by snow cover. Arctic air reaches Texas although moderating south of snow cover. Several very low pressure El Nino storms lam the eastern part of the U.S. into mid-January.
01/05/2024, 9:06 am EST

December 2023 Second Least Snowy (December) of 1966-2023

January 2024 looks like a snowy and cold month across the U.S. However, December 2023 produced the second lowest North America snow cover in the 1966-2023 climatology. The least snowy December was in 1980 which was a brutally cold month across Canada and the Northeast U.S. but moisture starved limiting snowfall.
01/05/2024, 9:04 am EST

Comparing The Mid-January 2024 Cold With Epic “Uri”

The ongoing SW episode has already spawned historic cold from Northwest Russia to Scandinavia and is forecast to expand and intensify through middle January. Unlike the first arctic air outbreak, the ongoing event will eventually feature an upper-level high pressure “ridge bridge” over Alaska to Siberia by later next week enabling a cross-polar flow of arctic air from the Eurasia source region into North America helping to intensify the North-central Canada polar vortex and the attendant longwave low-pressure trough into the U.S.
01/04/2024, 5:29 pm EST

Preliminary Comparison Between JAN-24 Cold Event With “Uri”

The extreme cold of the “Uri” arctic outbreak centered on Feb. 12-18, 2021, yielded 272 U.S. gas population weight HDD which was about 80 HDD colder than the 30-year normal and 84 HDD colder than the 10-year normal. The preliminary estimate of U.S. gas population weight HDD is in the 234-244 range for the Jan. 11-17, 2024, cold outbreak.