November 2023 - Climate Impact Company

News

11/30/2023, 1:38 pm EST

Stratospheric Downward Wave Reflection Events

Meteorologists and market analysts are gearing up for sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events which traditionally cause displacement of the polar vortex and arctic air outbreaks into the middle latitudes of North America and Eurasia. However, research has revealed that a different type of stratospheric interaction with the troposphere is causing the most recent arctic outbreaks across North America.

11/30/2023, 1:35 pm EST

Climate Impact Company Research: Spot Check Comparing Graph Cast AI 10-Day Forecast with ECM and GFS

A 10-day forecast of synoptic features across the U.S. valid 7PM EST on Monday November 27th was performed using a comparison between GFS, ECM, and Graph Cast AI-generated models. The results were a near perfect forecast by Graph Cast while GFS was out-of-phase with an Upper Midwest storm and attendant cold front while ECM was much too stormy across the Southern States.

11/30/2023, 9:07 am EST

Where To Expect Significant Snow During Winter 2023-24 In U.S.

Based on the Climate Impact Company constructed analog forecasts for winter 2023-24 a look at the prevailing upper air pattern for December, January, and February is provided with annotations as to where (based on the upper pattern) significant snow is likely to occur.

11/28/2023, 8:42 pm EST

New Marine Heat Wave Causal to Brazil/South Africa Drought Risk

During the past several weeks, a large area of exceptionally warm surface water has developed between 20S and 25S in the South Atlantic Ocean. Initially, the large area of warm sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) formed off the Southwest Africa Coast. During the past 30 days the anomalous warmth has surged westward toward the central Brazil Coast.