Widespread 100's develops across Texas this weekend into early next week as drought conditions helping to inspire the anomalous heat worsen. Additionally, drought worsens due to high wind in the 6-10-day period.
The Climate Impact Company 2022 North Atlantic seasonal activity forecast has increased slightly since the initial projection one month ago. The number of tropical storms, hurricanes and intense hurricanes each increases by a count of 1 to 20 storms, 10 hurricanes and 5 intense hurricanes. The ACE index increases from 135 to 149. The increase in activity is due to a more confident La Nina climate forecast.
Summer drought forecast for the Great Plains risk is fading due to short-term heavy rainfall risk. More broadly, the wet weather in early-to-middle May in the Great Plains could regenerate due to the cool Northeast Pacific and warm Gulf of Mexico SSTA pattern.