05/22/2022, 11:15 am EDT

East-central/East China Continue Drier

East-central/East China wheat-growing areas have turned much drier in recent weeks. Last week no rainfall was reported in this region and 15-day outlooks maintain the dry concern.
05/22/2022, 11:07 am EDT

May 2022 North Atlantic TC Seasonal Activity Forecast Update: La Nina Continues – Seasonal Activity Forecast Increases

The Climate Impact Company 2022 North Atlantic seasonal activity forecast has increased slightly since the initial projection one month ago. The number of tropical storms, hurricanes and intense hurricanes each increases by a count of 1 to 20 storms, 10 hurricanes and 5 intense hurricanes. The ACE index increases from 135 to 149. The increase in activity is due to a more confident La Nina climate forecast.
05/18/2022, 3:59 pm EDT

GFS/ECM Trending MUCH Wetter in Texas in 6-10-Day Forecast

The GFS produced a consistent tropical cyclone risk in their medium/extended-range forecasts since late last week. However, the GFS has dropped that idea late last night and today. Instead, GFS produces an excessive rainfall episode as an upper trough entrains western Gulf of Mexico moisture next week producing >10 in. of rain in some spots based on today’s 12Z GFS.