05/10/2022, 8:15 am EDT

La Nina to Weaken but Stays Intact for 2022

La Nina 2020-22 is most likely to hang on in 2022 and last into early 2023. La Nina should weaken but last into a third year for only the 5th time since 1950. Forecast confidence remains below average, but the trend is firmly toward lingering La Nina.
05/09/2022, 8:05 am EDT

Soaking Rains for Queensland This Week

Operational models are forecasting extreme rainfall over Queensland this week. The wet weather extends to New South Wales. Additionally, some wet weather is also forecast for far southwestern continent.
05/08/2022, 2:13 pm EDT

Latest Global Soil Moisture Trend and 15-Day Precipitation Outlooks

The April 2022 global soil moisture anomalies and 3-month trend reveal many important crop-area developments as the middle third of 2022 arrives. The Midwest to Mid-south U.S. trends wetter. The wet trend in this zone is typical of La Nina spring. Drought conditions remain profound across the western half of the U.S. and have intensified in the West/Southwest States. In Europe, dryness has intensified from France and Portugal eastward across Central Europe to Italy and further east into Ukraine.
05/05/2022, 12:21 pm EDT

Cause Of The Historic India Heatwave

Heavy convection south and southeast of India building the past several months and likely related to the Madden Julian oscillation released latent heat poleward causing a warming of the atmosphere across South-central Asia. The result is a titanic upper-level high-pressure ridge leading to historic heat across India (and westward to Iran/Iraq).