December 2021 - Page 2 of 8 - Climate Impact Company

12/27/2021, 1:13 pm EST

NCEP CFS V2 Model Delays La Nina Dissipation Until JUN/JUL 2022

The NCEP CFS V2 forecast model delays La Nina dissipation until early summer 2021 (in the northern hemisphere). Previously, La Nina was forecast to dissipate by MAR/APR 2022.

12/27/2021, 8:38 am EST

Weekly Gas Population Week HDD Observations for December/January Forecast

The Climate Impact Company 4-week gas population weight observed weekly HDD anomalies identifiers the warm December but is trending toward a colder scenario in January.

12/22/2021, 9:02 am EST

Northeast Argentina/Southeast Brazil Drought Concerns

While much of Brazil has been soaking wet in recent months, the southeast has remained mostly dry. Additionally, long-term rainfall deficits imply deep layer soil moisture dryness. Northeast Argentina is trending very dry and hot to help accelerate drought concerns.

12/22/2021, 8:36 am EST

Warm Winter 2021-22 U.S. HDD Forecast

The U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast is exceptionally warm for winter 2021-22. The problem is the high energy demand Northeast/Mid-Atlantic States are generally quite mild this winter limiting heating demand in that region while other sectors such as the West and North-central States can be very cold. The impact of sensible weather is driven by population.