News
07/09/2026, 11:08 am EDT

Updating North Atlantic SSTA Regimes

The North Atlantic basin has warmed 0.34C during the past 30 days to +0.70C, a (fairly) warm signature. However, the main development region is almost exactly normal and has cooled slightly in July so far. The Caribbean Sea warmed to +0.53C although all of the surface warming in in the northwest basin. The Gulf of Mexico is warming rapidly reaching +1.10C. The western North Atlantic basin has (also) warmed to +1.10C.
07/09/2026, 5:44 am EDT

Europe Drought Steadily Worsening

The ongoing Europe heatwave has not peaked. The latest 15-dy outlook indicates hottest days for Europe are July 14-15. The heatwave steadily loses intensity after the mid-month peak. The 8-14-day forecast projects expansive wet weather helping to ease the heat. The short-term heat and dryness will continue to worsen Europe Drought.
07/08/2026, 5:17 am EDT

France Heatwave, Nearly as Strong as June, Collapses Days 11-15

In Europe, the latest heatwave continues and is centered on France coupled with dryness and accelerating drought. The 15-day population weight daily average temperature maintains the heatwave for 10 days with intensity slightly less than the June episode. In the 11-15-day period relief is on the way as showers and thunderstorms streak into Europe.
07/07/2026, 4:40 pm EDT

Wetter Weather West/Southwest Europe Late Summer/Autumn

ECM “monthlies” maintain warmer than normal risk into the autumn season but due to El Nino influence begin a wet pattern across Southwest Europe next month likely to expand during autumn to help ease the drought.