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09/03/2025, 1:28 pm EDT
A map of the united states with red and blue lines AI-generated content may be incorrect.
09/03/2025, 1:28 pm EDT

NOAA September Wildland Fires: Rare New England Risk, Widespread California Risk, and All Hawaii Risk

NOAA reissues their significant wildland fire potential outlook for September and October. Not surprising is the rapid risk increase for many parts of Central and Southern California plus all Northern California. The above average risk extends to Northern Nevada and Southwest Idaho. Added is the western portion of Washington. Wildland fire potential risk is above average near many major city and town locations for Western Washington and California.
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09/03/2025, 6:02 am EDT
A map of weather forecast AI-generated content may be incorrect.
09/03/2025, 6:02 am EDT

-IOD/La Nina Inspired Wet Climate Ahead for Australia

The Indian Ocean Dipole has shifted to negative phase and a borderline La Nina is developing. The last time -IOD and La Nina were present during SEP/OCT was in 2022 when buckets of rain fell on the East/Southeast! Be aware of potential over-achieving rains in the East for spring 2025! The AI Graph Cast week 2-4 outlook reveals the upcoming wet pattern for East Australia.
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09/02/2025, 2:46 pm EDT
A map of the world AI-generated content may be incorrect.
09/02/2025, 2:46 pm EDT

Overall, North Atlantic Cooler Than Recent Summer Seasons; But Gulf/Caribbean/MDR Very Warm!

The North Atlantic basin SSTA is +0.28C which is quite cool compared to other years this decade. The 1-year change is -0.53C which is very impressive. However, there are basins which are very warm and capable of contributing to over-achieving tropical cyclones and their intensity. The Gulf of Mexico is near record warm (+0.90C) which is steady during the past 2 weeks. The Caribbean Sea is also very warm and unchanged during the past 2 weeks.
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