The Climate Impact Company constructed analog forecast did a good job forecasting a cool/wet trough in Western Russia for June. The week 2-4 outlook identifies that pattern change. To compensate for the trough, very warm to hot and dry risk increases in Europe.

Global soil moisture trend during the past 3 months was overwhelmingly much wetter on each continent. Most notable was the expansion of wet soils across East and South Asia especially India. A much wetter change was observed across Japan. In Australia, the southwest and southeast corner were drier while the remainder of the Australian East Coast to northern areas were much wetter.