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06/05/2025, 9:18 am EDT
A map of the united states AI-generated content may be incorrect.
06/05/2025, 9:18 am EDT

ECMWF “Monthlies” Aggressive with Dry/Hot Climate Central/Northern Great Plains JUL/AUG/SEP

The just-issued ECMWF “monthlies” aggressively forecasts consistent anomalous dry and hot climate across the central and northern Great Plains and much of the Canadian Prairies for July through September. The model shifts wet weather risk to the East Coast and Gulf of Mexico Coast leaving high pressure across the North-central States. The high-pressure location is also inspired by a tendency for monsoon thunderstorm activity across the Southwest U.S.  
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06/05/2025, 5:53 am EDT
A map of weather forecast AI-generated content may be incorrect.
06/05/2025, 5:53 am EDT

Possible Wetter Changes Ahead in Canada

Currently, warnings for ongoing brush/forest fires are issued for most of South-central to East-central Canada. The hazard has increased dramatically this week. However, wet weather appears early in the 6-10-day period across the western Canadian prairies. In the 8-14-day period, all models indicate potentially substantial rainfall for much of the Canadian Prairies and the remainder of Southern Canada.
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06/05/2025, 4:56 am EDT
A graph of the weather forecast AI-generated content may be incorrect.
06/05/2025, 4:56 am EDT

Europe Summer 2025 CDD Forecasts are Very Warm!

May 2025 CDD count was an over-achiever for Europe Western Cities. The consensus of selected West Europe cities CDD in May was MUCH ABOVE normal and inspired by Heathrow and Paris-Orly with warmest departures. The warm signature appears in the June and July forecast for Western Europe as the consensus of selected cities is much warmer than the 10-year normal and except for JUN-23 is the warmest of the past 3 years.
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06/03/2025, 9:03 am EDT
A graph of the temperature of the north atlantic tropics AI-generated content may be incorrect.
06/03/2025, 9:03 am EDT

Upper Ocean Heat North Atlantic Tropics on June 1st

As the 2025 North Atlantic basin tropical cyclone season begins, a review of where we stand regarding upper ocean heat across various basins in the North Atlantic where tropical cyclones form and travel. In the tropical North Atlantic, upper ocean heat is above the 2013-24 normal and tied for 3rd warmest in the 13-year climatology. If warming (compared to normal) occurs during the summer months, hurricanes will be in the upper limit of 6-10 forecast by NOAA for the 2025 season.
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