April 2024 - Page 5 of 8 - Climate Impact Company

News

04/11/2024, 9:56 am EDT

Recent Precipitation Forecast Verification days 11-15 U.S. AG Belt and Europe

During the past 14 days, the 11-15-day rainfall forecasts across the U.S. AG Belt and Europe/Western Russia have shown moderate to dramatic wet/dry bias. In the U.S., forecasts have been too wet across much of the Great Plains and Tennessee Valley (and vicinity) and too dry in the Midwest States.

04/11/2024, 9:16 am EDT

Will Evolution of +IOD Interrupt La Nina 2024 Expectations?

The Australia Bureau of Meteorology (ABOM) announced that the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) is forecast to return to the positive phase in May lasting several months into early Q4/2024. ABOM identifies +IOD years (since 1950) as 1961, 1963, 1967, 1972, 1994, 1997, 2006, 2015, 2019, and 2023. In each of these analog years (except for 1961 and 1967) El Nino was present. Of the 10 analog years, 5 featured strong El Nino.

04/09/2024, 6:00 am EDT

Major U.S. Storm With Peak Severe Weather/Excessive Rainfall Tomorrow in Northern Gulf States

On Wednesday, the peak intensity of this storm is realized. A large mass of severe thunderstorms is projected across much of the Northern Gulf States with tornado risk from Louisiana to Alabama. Excessive rain and attendant flooding strike the entire Southeast U.S. centered on Alabama.

04/09/2024, 4:42 am EDT

Australia Winter Climate Conflict Regarding Indian Ocean Dipole

An interesting conflict has emerged regarding phase of Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) for mid-2024. The Australia Bureau of Meteorology indicates a shift of the neutral IOD pattern back into positive phase by MAY/JUN. The positive phase remains in-place through the winter season. The Climate Impact Company constructed analog forecast maintains neutral phase.