News
02/27/2024, 7:18 pm EST

The Super Warm Atlantic (and Global) Tropical SST’s

The warmest SSTA on record for both the tropical South Atlantic and North Atlantic are occurring simultaneously. The daily tropical South Atlantic (TSA) index is a robust +1.36C while the tropical North Atlantic (TNA) index is an impressive +1.48C. Combined with El Nino warming across the tropical Pacific and an impressive SSTA average of +1.12C across the IOD region of the Indian Ocean, the global tropical oceans are the warmest observed within the confines of historical data.
02/26/2024, 5:59 am EST

Possible Shift in the Indian Ocean Dipole?

The Indian Ocean tropical waters are very warm compared to normal. Recently, the eastern Indian ocean tropics have warmed significantly and are now warmer than the western Indian Ocean tropics. Analogs show a similar regime following mature El Nino phase during February 1998, 2010, and 2016. What followed during MAR/APR/MAY was a precipitation climate reminiscent of negative Indian Ocean dipole.
02/25/2024, 3:26 pm EST

East-central U.S. Soils Trending Drier

The daily soil moisture anomalies across the U.S. reveal two trend lines during February. The Midwest States are turning drier. Additionally, the Texas Panhandle drought is worsening, and the Mid-south States are encountering drier soil conditions.
02/25/2024, 11:44 am EST

U.S. Cold Season 2023-24 Projected as 5th Warmest This Century

The estimated U.S. gas population weight HDD for the 2023-24 cold season (NOV-MAR) is 3478 HDD (Fig. 1). The value represents the 5th warmest cold season of this century. The 3 warmest cold seasons of this century in the U.S. were 2001-02 (3345 HDD), 2011-12 (3224 HDD), and 2015-16 (3269 HDD).