News
05/26/2023, 8:44 am EDT

Seasonal Hurricane Forecast Summary and Watching Southeast U.S. Coast for Development

NOAA issued their 2023 seasonal hurricane forecast yesterday (12-17 storms, 5-9 hurricanes, and 1-4 major hurricanes) which was slightly higher than the consensus of seasonal forecasts issued by Colorado State University, Tropical Storm Risk U.K., and Climate Impact Company. Meanwhile an area of possible development has developed off the Southeast Coast for the early weekend.
05/25/2023, 8:55 am EDT

The Dramatic North Atlantic Basin SSTA Regime

Regions of anomalous SSTA regimes in the North Atlantic basin are dramatic! The NAWH pattern east of New England biases the East U.S. cooler. A new MHW off the northwest coast of Africa has lead to Northwest Africa/Southwest Europe drought. A warm SSTA pattern in the deep tropics ahead of tropical cyclone season.
05/24/2023, 7:58 am EDT

Lack of Wind for SPP/ERCOT in May So Far

So far, May 2023 has produced below normal zonal and meridional wind speeds across the U.S. particularly across most of the SPP and ERCOT regions of the Central U.S. Causal to the lack of wind is a large area of high pressure over Western Canada extending to the Great Plains and generally weak low pressure in the far southern States to the East Coast.