News
01/05/2023, 8:13 am EST

Argentina Flash Drought Test!

The combination of week-long period of no rain, excessive heat, shallow and deep layer soil moisture deficits produces a flash drought risk across Argentina into the second third of January.
01/05/2023, 8:09 am EST

Record Warm Mediterranean Sea Helping to Inspire Warm Europe Climate!

During the past 10 years, a semi-permanent upper trough has set-up near or southeast of Greenland frequently compensated for by a downstream upper ridge over Europe. When that Europe ridge is present, the record warm Mediterranean Sea is helping to intensify the upper ridge pattern helping to explain the recent unusual early January warmth.
01/04/2023, 8:28 am EST

California in Trouble…Relentless High Wind/Extreme Precipitation Through January 20th

The atmospheric river pattern into California is more appropriately described as an atmospheric tsunami. A 960 MB low-pressure area is forecast off the Oregon Coast tonight. Coupled with the high terrain of California, the interaction will create a widespread dangerous windstorm capable of knocking out power for much of the state, particularly central and north sections. Excessive rain will cause additional flooding in urban areas, rivers, streams, and creeks. Dangerous mountain travel with multiple feet of snow beginning around 6,000 feet.
01/03/2023, 1:42 pm EST

A Cautionary Note to Natural Gas Traders as Arctic Air Can Return Quickly

The pre-Christmas 2022 arctic outbreak in the U.S. was caused by a sudden combination of stratospheric factors over the polar region and North America just-after mid-December. This type of arctic air catalyst can occur quickly and is difficult to forecast in the medium-range and certainly 3-6 weeks out. Suddenly, arctic air evolves fast in Northwest/West Russia the next 7-10 days expanding across Eurasia (although moderating) in the 11-15-day period. This type of an event can easily regenerate over North America the second half of winter.