News
01/27/2023, 5:54 am EST

Watching Northwest/North Brazil Second Corn Crop for Drought Risk

Daily soil moisture anomaly analysis reveals erosion of the Argentina drought on the southern side of the affected area. Recent rainfall has been impressive in that zone. However, farther northward, the remainder of the Argentina drought area remains intact. A new area of drought concern is across the northwest and north Brazil Second Corn Crop zone. Deep layer soil moisture deficits have increased in the heart of the Argentina drought zone.
01/26/2023, 8:18 am EST

Backing Off The Extreme Cold U.S. Forecasts

The U.S. outlook to close January and through the first third of February is trending less cold. The primary reason is an increased westerly component aloft in the medium-range forecast easing the cross-polar flow of arctic air and increasing the milder Pacific influence on the U.S. thermal pattern. As a result, heating degree days forecasts are trending lower.
01/24/2023, 6:01 pm EST

If El Nino Forms, 2023 Could Be Record Warm (Globally)!

ENSO forecasts by leading models project El Nino by June 2023. Historically, when NOV/DEC/JAN are still in moderate La Nina phase, the chance that El Nino forms the following boreal summer season is only 25%
01/24/2023, 10:27 am EST

Southwest/South Europe Turns Colder

An impressive upper-level low-pressure trough rolls across Southern Europe the next week to 10 days delivering locally cold weather to Southwest Europe to France and gradually across much of Southern Europe. The upper trough combines with still unusually warm Mediterranean Sea SSTA to produce excessive rains across this region into early February extending to Southeast Europe.