11/07/2022, 5:04 am EST

Another Historic Month of Rainfall in Australia

Widespread excessive rainfall was observed across much of Eastern Australia during October 2022 and more rain is on the way although less excessive for the next 2 weeks as an upper low-pressure pattern over the continent is sustained.
11/04/2022, 1:54 pm EDT

Strong Multivariate ENSO Index Keeping Maintaining Strong La Nina Climate

Will La Nina end during early 2023 as most dynamic/statistical models indicate? We’ve faced this question at the same time in 2021 and 2020. On each occasion, dynamic/statistical models were satisfied that the preceding La Nina would be compensated for by El Nino the following year. Instead, multivariate ENSO index maintained a strengthening La Nina climate.
11/04/2022, 1:52 pm EDT

Substantial Rain/Coastal Wind Carolina Coast Next Week

An evolving tropical or subtropical system in the Bahamas is likely to form early next week. This system inspires a long duration wind and rain fetch into the Carolina Coast for early-to-middle of next week.
11/03/2022, 8:05 am EDT

Progressive MJO Pushes a Warm to Cold U.S. Thermal Transition

Madden Julian oscillation is shifting east from the West Pacific now across the Pacific over the next 2 weeks. Initially, MJO drives a stormy West and very warm East U.S. pattern. However, in the extended-range, the chilly weather spreads across much of the U.S.