June 2022 - Page 5 of 5 - Climate Impact Company

06/12/2022, 9:38 am EDT

A ROBUST La Nina Climate continues Through Q3/2022

Although oceanic parameters are of moderate La Nina intensity, the strong La Nina atmosphere is likely triggered by the sharp contrast in strong subsidence across the East Pacific tropics compared with an energetic convective regime across the far West Pacific as identified by the May 2022 monthly velocity potential analysis from IRI/LDEO.

06/01/2022, 4:15 pm EDT

Southeast Gulf Sufficiently Warm to Allow 91L To Strengthen

This afternoon NOAA/NHC initiated Tropical Disturbance 91L. This system should track northeastward from the Yucatan Peninsula across the far southeast Gulf of Mexico later this week. The upper shear pattern is quite strong but if the shear eases as expected the reasonably warm surface of the southeast Gulf of Mexico should allow strengthening of 91L to a named storm (Alex).