News
06/24/2022, 8:08 am EDT

Increasing Risk of Development for 94L

In the outer tropical North Atlantic basin a tropical disturbance (94L) is drifting due west with some organization. SST are sufficiently warm in this low latitude to sustain 94L and the shear axis is well to the north and showing signs of weakening.
06/23/2022, 4:30 pm EDT

U.S. Summer 2022 CDD Count Eased Back As High Population Coastal Regions Adjusted Cooler

The latest monthly U.S. population weight CDD anomaly forecast shifts cooler than the 2019-21 normal as the outlooks are hot in the Central U.S. including Texas but trend less hot/cooler on each (high population) coastal region(s).
06/20/2022, 5:31 pm EDT

La Nina Continues to Weaken But Further Weakening Is Likely Temporary

Oceanic La Nina continues to weaken. The Nino34 SSTA is just-within the La Nina threshold at -0.6C. In the subsurface, the equatorial East Pacific is warming and east of the Dateline upper ocean heat is now warmer than normal.
06/20/2022, 5:28 pm EDT

Increasing Rainfall Shortages Across U.S.

Soil moisture deficits increase dramatically once meteorological summer arrives due to the intensity of the sun. Only areas receiving moderate to heavy rainfall, cloud cover or cool temperatures can avoid this problem. Right now, significant soil moisture shortages are affecting a vast portion of the lower 48 contiguous states. Most notably, >15 in. rainfall deficits are affecting parched northern California, parts of the Northwest U.S. and adding the upper Texas Coast.