News
12/05/2021, 5:25 pm EST

U.S. Gas Population Weight HDD Forecasts for Winter Keep Getting Warmer

The November gas population weight HDD was 552 compared to the 30-year normal of 589. The rank was 11th warmest of the past 20 years compared to the second warmest on record last year. The updated HDD ranking forecast for the remainder of winter is trending warmer and now ranks in the too 7 warmest for the past 20 years each of the next 4 months.
12/03/2021, 8:57 am EST

Explaining The Wet Spring Pattern Across Australia

The wettest spring since 2010 has just completed across Australia. Spring was an all-time top 10 wet spring in Australia’s climate record. Developing La Nina will be blamed for the wet pattern and certainly contributed. In fact, according to multivariate ENSO index (MEI) the La Nina climate pattern emerging in 2020 never ended in 2021. However, other factors contributed (heavily) to the wet pattern across Australia during their just-ended meteorological spring season.
12/01/2021, 3:54 pm EST

Madden Julian Oscillation Erupts

In recent days the Madden Julian oscillation has emerged across Indonesia. Due to the increased attendant heavy convection, the atmosphere has become increasingly supportive of tropical cyclone activity. In the West Pacific tropics Typhoon Nyatoh has developed. This system reaches category-2 tropical cyclone strength while turning north and northeast over the next couple days. MJO also spawned a tropical depression well northwest of Australia.
12/01/2021, 8:05 am EST

21 Tropical Cyclones in 2021! Why Modern TC Climatology Is Rising.

The adjusted climatology (including 2021) for North Atlantic tropical cyclones maintains the more active 30-year values compared to the longer-term 50-year values. The number of tropical cyclones each season nowadays averages close 15 whereas the 50-year climatology is somewhat lower at 12.6 and 11.9 for 1950-2021.