News
10/15/2025, 7:04 am EDT
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Early Season Hefty Snow Cover, Causes Cold Air Mass, Release Into China Next Week

The early season snow cover across the northern hemisphere is ahead of schedule in Mongolia, far Northeast China, and Southern Russia. Alaska and Canada have below normal snow cover for mid-October although a recent streak of snow was observed across parts of the Canadian Prairies. As usual, early season expansive snow cover encouraged a much colder than normal air mass to evolve across Northeast Eurasia featuring 5-day temperature anomalies of 20-30F below normal.
10/15/2025, 7:01 am EDT
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The Warm Oceans, Causal to Warm Medium-range Forecasts

Day-to-day, medium/extended-range forecasts in North America are usually warmer than normal. A leading catalyst to that regime is much warmer than normal global ocean surface, most apparent in the middle latitudes beneath the prevailing upper-level westerlies that drive out climate. Maine heatwaves have increased dramatically in the middle latitudes particularly in recent years.
10/14/2025, 9:21 am EDT
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Nino SSTA Neutral Despite Onset of La Nina Announcement by NOAA

Last week, the Nino SSTA regions each warmed slightly and are all in neutral range as mid-October approaches. Despite neutral Nino SSTA, NOAA announced La Nina onset last Thursday. The subsurface equatorial East Pacific is broadly cooler than normal. The trend is slightly cooler from 2 weeks ago.
10/13/2025, 4:47 pm EDT
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Pattern Change Eastern U.S. Later October

ECM projects the Greenland Block to continue and finally produce cool troughs into the Ohio Valley/Mid-Atlantic States and Northwest Eurasia late this month into early November. Expect a cooler U.S. pattern especially in the East, as November approaches.