News
05/29/2025, 11:34 am EDT
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Ongoing Canada Fires/Dangerous Summer Outlook

The Canadian Meteorological Center indicates an evolving fire risk across Western Canada during June with a well above normal fire risk for Southwest Canada by July reaching all Southwest and Central Canada (plus Northwest U.S.) during August.
05/29/2025, 9:10 am EDT
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Upper Ocean Heat in Tropical North Atlantic Continues to Lower

Upper ocean heat across the tropical North Atlantic basin rivaled the warmest values on record established last year to start 2025. However, upper ocean heat is shifting less impressive as June approaches and is now below the record warmth of the past 2 years and within the upper limit of the 2013-22 climatology. A notable decline is observed in May.
05/29/2025, 3:54 am EDT
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Mid-south U.S. Trends Wetter; Looks Wet for June

The Madden Julian oscillation 14-day forecast settles on phase_7/phase_8 during the medium range with increasing intensity justifying a cooler and wetter East U.S. forecast. The ECM ENS 15-day percent of normal rainfall outlook indicates wet weather, possibly heavy rain in the southern Great Plains with the wet regime expanding to the Tennessee Valley and southern Ohio Valley.
05/28/2025, 12:31 pm EDT
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GFS and ECM Rainfall Forecast Bias across U.S. AG Belt

During the past month, both the GFS and ECM have produced dramatic too wet forecast bias across Southern Canada and too dry forecast bias across much of the U.S. AG Belt. The ECM is also too wet on the U.S. East Coast.