News
07/16/2024, 12:03 pm EDT

Saharan Dust Arrives Suppressing TC Activity. Long-term effects?

During the past few weeks, Saharan Dust propelled west and southwestward from Northwest Africa by easterly trade winds has increased. Visible satellite images from earlier today easily identify the dust clouds as light gray east of the Caribbean Sea.
07/15/2024, 11:45 am EDT

ENSO-Neutral, No Sign of La Nina Motivation

The latest collection of dynamic models forecasting the Nino34 SSTA through the end of 2024 continue to show evolution of weak La Nina although reliable forecasters ECMWF and Australia Bureau of Meteorology (ABOM) maintain neutral ENSO phase.
07/14/2024, 7:07 pm EDT

Saharan Dust Stalls Tropical Development in North Atlantic

The North Africa climate pattern of the past 2-3 months is unusually hot and dry. Increasing trade winds south of intensifying subtropical high pressure is pushing Saharan Dust into the tropical/subtropical North Atlantic suppressing tropical cyclone development.
07/14/2024, 3:38 pm EDT

Hot Weather Causes Expanding Drought Risk in the U.S.

Deep layer soil moisture deficits indicate the primary target for developing harsh drought currently located across the east/south Great Plains, parts of the Missouri and Tennessee Valley(s), and the Mid-Atlantic region.