News
07/18/2024, 11:28 am EDT

NOAA Long-lead Probability Climate Forecast Implicate Florida for Hurricane Risk in August

The month ahead outlook valid for August 2024 identifies above normal temperature risk for the entire U.S. particularly in the Great Basin and central Appalachians. The probabilistic rainfall outlook has increased confidence for a wet pattern in the Gulf States, Florida, and Carolinas. The wet zone is a candidate for land-falling tropical cyclones in August.
07/17/2024, 3:03 pm EDT

A Review of the July 1994 Cold Outbreak into Brazil

As a review, a look at the July 1994 cold surge into Brazil is provided. The cold surge peaked July 10-11, 1994, in Brazil causing a widespread coffee freeze that destroyed 30% of the crop according to U.S. media reports at that time. The cold air mass was made severe by the presence of a deep upper trough centered on Uruguay. The proximity of the deep upper trough to Brazil caused the extreme cold.
07/17/2024, 8:31 am EDT

Southeast Europe/Black Sea Region Drought Continues

A major drought is in-place across Southeast Europe and Western Turkey. Drought ALERT is widespread in these areas according to the Europe Drought Observatory (EDO). The NOAA/CPC daily soil moisture analysis identifies the Southeast Europe drought extension to Southwest Russia including most of the Black Sea region.
07/16/2024, 12:03 pm EDT

Saharan Dust Arrives Suppressing TC Activity. Long-term effects?

During the past few weeks, Saharan Dust propelled west and southwestward from Northwest Africa by easterly trade winds has increased. Visible satellite images from earlier today easily identify the dust clouds as light gray east of the Caribbean Sea.