News
05/03/2024, 5:42 am EDT

Comparing CFS V2 and ECM 16-30-day Forecast Temperature Bias

During the past 14 days, temperature forecast bias for the 16-30-day period was markedly less cool using the ECM vs. CFS V2 (model). The CFS V2 forecasts have averaged nearly 5F too cool from Nebraska to Virginia. ECM also produced better Western Canada forecasts.
05/03/2024, 5:27 am EDT

Cooler Pattern Western Russia (After Record Warm April)

Negative Scandinavia index which represents a sharp trough over Northwest Eurasia dominates the first half of May pattern. The trough lingers into mid-May according to ECM sustaining cool weather across Western Russia and a wet scenario across Southwest Russia and eastward.
05/02/2024, 8:46 am EDT

Marine Heatwave Drives Rio Grande do Sul Extreme Rains

An extreme rainfall event has occurred in Rio Grande do Sul in Southeast Brazil leaving thousands homeless, many people killed, and widespread destruction such as washed-out bridges and destroyed homes. The rainfall event is ongoing and additional extreme rain is likely into mid-May. Why?
05/01/2024, 8:46 am EDT

The Brazil Drought is Worsening

Extremely dry weather was observed the last week of April across South-central to Coastal Brazil. The 10-day outlook maintains the dryness with high temperatures consistently in the 32-35C range. The dry pattern widens during the period.