News
05/14/2024, 1:40 pm EDT

First Major U.S. Heatwave of Season Ahead for Texas

The first major heatwave of the season in the U.S. is ahead for Texas next week. The heat dome over Mexico during springtime amplifies and causes hot and humid conditions across Texas next week. Widespread 90’s with 100’s southwest state is likely. Heat indices are well above 100F.
05/14/2024, 6:03 am EDT

Fine Line for Wet Vs. Dry in Central U.S. Summer 2024?

Is the wet May pattern in the eastern half of the U.S. anomalous? No, the wet pattern is likely to continue during the summer months for much of the eastern half of the nation. Tricky is the wet East/dry West dividing line as relevant to U.S. Crop Areas. The U.S. Corn Belt and soybean growing areas may be centered on that dividing line which can cause havoc to agriculture analysts, planners, and traders as crop conditions vary widely.
05/13/2024, 10:59 am EDT

Officially, ENSO Phase is Neutral

Last week the Nino34 SSTA dipped below the (+0.5C) El Nino threshold. ENSO is now officially in neutral phase. Only the Nino4 SSTA region (near the Dateline) is above the El Nino threshold.
05/13/2024, 10:52 am EDT

Tropical Feature: Suddenly, the Gulf of Mexico is warming rapidly.

In the Gulf of Mexico, rapid warming has occurred. The basin average is a robust warm +1.14C which is almost 1C warmer than one month ago. The Gulf of Mexico warming is likely attributed to the nearby Mexico heatwave and attendant strong upper-level subtropical ridge.