12/17/2023, 3:55 pm EST
The first half of December was very cold across the northern half of Europe and Western Russia while the Southern Black Sea region was mild. The pattern reverses much warmer the second half of December.
News
12/17/2023, 12:17 pm EST
Early meteorological summer is usually drier than normal across Eastern Australia when El Nino is present. However, the past 30 days have featured robust wet anomalies across the eastern third of the continent in contrast with very dry weather of the last 3 El Nino years for the same period in 2015, 2009, and 2002. Rainfall forecasts through the remainder of December maintain the very wet East Australia pattern. Why is the unexpected rainfall occurring?
12/14/2023, 2:10 pm EST
The upcoming storm for late weekend into early next week on the East Coast is an El Nino storm. Problems: 1.) Develops at a low latitude over very warm water therefore unusually low pressure (980-985 MB off Mid-Atlantic Coast) emerges; 2.) Unusually low pressure running into a high-pressure area southeast of Canada will create hurricane force wind gusts northeast and east of the storm center possibly affecting southern New England and Long Island; 3.) Because the storm was born over warm water, an unusual heavy rain is likely for the Northeast Corridor.
12/14/2023, 2:04 pm EST
There is a likelihood for a complete reversal in global climate patterns from what they are now for later 2024. The potential for a long-term change in the ENSO cycle is emerging on the horizon.